Improbable-Pancreas
0xdae4a7688243e8fb013beb5dd5fecd400b52f140
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.02
Total PnL
$-198.38
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Warriors
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$5.26
$4.26
- KINGS
Grizzlies vs. Kings
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
479 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- SHARKS
Capitals vs. Sharks
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- SHARKS
Hurricanes vs. Sharks
11 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$200.00Apr 10, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHurricanes vs. Sharks$1.00Mar 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Sharks$2.40Mar 21, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Sharks$1.00Mar 21, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Warriors$92.55Mar 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Warriors$42.27Mar 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Warriors$5.18Mar 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$695.65Mar 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Warriors$359.46Mar 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$300.00Mar 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNuggets vs. Warriors$145.00Mar 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$118.80Mar 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$1.20Mar 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Warriors$1.00Mar 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Kings$1.00Mar 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Sharks$1.00Mar 15, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $122.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 22:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".