Immaterial-Feather
0xdb0c3eaa0a50940d36b0f87daddacddabfba0b83
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.23
Total PnL
$-29.83
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.02
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 17?
6236 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.24
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 25?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11?
1087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?
1077 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?
1075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?
1071 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.04Jun 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.04May 21, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.03May 13, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.22May 5, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17May 4, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.42May 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.17Apr 22, 07:03 UTC
- REWARD$0.09Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.33Apr 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 23?$3.23Mar 23, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 13?$2.11Mar 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?$2.14Mar 7, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 2?$2.12Mar 2, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 25?$2.18Feb 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 20?$2.15Feb 20, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?$3.18Feb 16, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.01Feb 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11?$3.26Feb 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?$2.15Feb 5, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 2, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $150.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".