Cautious-Swanling
0xdb1fd789f2b429ad8065dd7120d72dc837f3b3e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-550.76
Realised
$16.23
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
12167 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.99
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
6325 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.58
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
3384 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
2057 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.57
- NO
Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 be greater than 3,200,000?
641 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
292 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-276.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
213 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.97
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
196 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00May 3, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.07May 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.05May 3, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.00Apr 12, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 12, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$15.38Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.69Apr 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.69Apr 9, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.59Apr 9, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.14Apr 9, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.00Apr 9, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.53Apr 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.54Apr 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.00Apr 9, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.