Amazing-Brain
0xdb2167bf593d6c3973cfdc44833e7ad7b3ba5656
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$513.49
Total PnL
$-1.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?
510 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$509.51
$0.51
- NO
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?$509.04May 20, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 18?$509.00May 20, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 18?$508.49May 19, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?$508.51May 18, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?$508.04May 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillions FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.07May 5, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?$500.50May 5, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?$500.04May 1, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.80 in April?$5.01May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?$5.02May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$5.02May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $30 in April?$5.02May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$5.02May 1, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in April?$5.02May 1, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $373.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.