0xdb2d7fd7c76dc255eb99d90109346c03cdd6913a
0xdb2d7fd7c76dc255eb99d90109346c03cdd6913a
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-263.21
Realised
$-1.21
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 20?
3781 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 24?
2052 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on March 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 20?
1976 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 22?
1900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 25?
1891 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?
1891 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 3?
1881 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 4?
1653 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 28?
218 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 5?$2.07May 3, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on May 4?$2.03May 3, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?$3.71May 3, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 4?$2.05May 3, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 4?$2.00May 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 4?$2.00May 2, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 3?$2.04May 2, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?$2.00May 1, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?$16.68Apr 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 29?$1.96Apr 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?$1.95Apr 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 29?$1.96Apr 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?$1.92Apr 27, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?$2.08Apr 27, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 28?$2.29Apr 27, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 28?$1.94Apr 27, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?$1.92Apr 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 28?$1.80Apr 27, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27?$1.92Apr 27, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?$12.26Apr 26, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.