Wallet profile

Cuddly-Salt

0xdb37e30ff4d47c1b5f94248fade8d699aafff9bb

activity 27/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

27/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

31

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.8K

Realised

$-72.63

Win rate

0%

31 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 31

Recent activity

  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.23Aug 18, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.85Aug 17, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$7.85Aug 16, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$3.02Aug 15, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$18.91Aug 13, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$15.31Aug 12, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$23.18Aug 11, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$4.80Aug 10, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$79.87Aug 8, 00:35 UTC
  • TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.19Aug 7, 11:35 UTC
  • TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$5.34Aug 7, 11:29 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$64.58Aug 7, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$37.83Aug 6, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$6.18Aug 5, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$7.25Aug 4, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$10.07Aug 3, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$10.75Aug 2, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$5.00Aug 1, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$5.05Jul 31, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$2.13Jul 30, 00:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

58/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 31 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

31 closed markets, 0% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity58 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry48 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk35 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
16
Avg trade size
$80.66
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 12, 03:10 UTC
Last active
Aug 18, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample
31 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 09:28:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data