Understated-Thunderhead
0xdb3ad389ce6dd313fe95c1f49f44a40d4947ab6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$138.21
Total PnL
$-22.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 2?
44 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$44.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 20?
41 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$41.05
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 14?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$36.03
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
4400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 20?$41.00Apr 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 14?$36.00Apr 13, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 2?$44.00Apr 1, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$17.02Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on March 27?$48.10Mar 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on March 27?$48.00Mar 25, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 23?$53.05Mar 23, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 23?$53.00Mar 22, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$8.06Mar 18, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on March 16?$41.08Mar 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on March 16?$41.00Mar 15, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 14?$34.03Mar 14, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 14?$34.00Mar 13, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$38.04Mar 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$38.00Mar 9, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 8, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Mar 4, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $360.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".