Arid-Ligand
0xdb4603bf56399b65223e78b6bc0a2edf72446224
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-50.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
75388 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-554.17
- NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
32083 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-475.83
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
7461 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
7079 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-313.62
- YES
Kanye banned on X by Monday?
3276 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2025$0.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
1584 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-185.15
- T1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
1417 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
1380 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-330.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
509 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-213.79
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$13.41Dec 29, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$37.22Dec 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$24.46Dec 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$24.72Dec 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$25.00Dec 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$50.00Dec 22, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$82.40Dec 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$172.25Dec 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$199.90Dec 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$275.96Dec 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$199.91Dec 9, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$20.00Nov 9, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$5.77Nov 9, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$283.56Nov 9, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$25.00Nov 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$192.00Nov 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$389.87Nov 9, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$421.48Nov 9, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$30.00Nov 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$100.00Nov 9, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $110.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 13:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".