Favorable-Commuter
0xdb465b694f7beefdbf8d1edfa2035128d4cb56e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$392.16
Total PnL
$-971.15
Realised
$-78.89
Win rate
19%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- OVER
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5
52 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$52.25
$40.75
- CHICAGO CUBS
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)
22 shares @ 26.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.03
$14.43
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
40 shares @ 23.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$14.32
$4.82
- YES
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?
47 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.57
$-0.23
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?
51 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.54
$-0.26
- YES
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-16?
60 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.50
$-0.30
- YES
Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.20
$-0.40
- NO
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
32 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?
32 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)$2.05May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5$1.54May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-16?$2.76May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?$2.05May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?$2.76May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5$2.05May 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5$3.07May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5$2.05May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?$2.76May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?$2.76May 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5$1.54May 16, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score$3.06May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)$2.05May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5$1.54May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?$3.07May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$2.76May 16, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5$1.54May 16, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)$2.05May 16, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?$3.07May 16, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?$3.07May 16, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".