Ideal-Lemonade
0xdb48ece4869cc4262811c49933ea945864259c2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?$5.65Sep 7, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at Wisconsin rally?$5.64Sep 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at Wisconsin rally?$4.70Sep 7, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELL'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?$4.70Sep 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?$4.56Sep 6, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" during Hannity town hall?$4.57Sep 6, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" during Hannity town hall?$4.23Sep 5, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" during Hannity town hall?$3.55Sep 5, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" during Hannity town hall?$30.00Sep 5, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?$6.42Sep 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?$0.84Sep 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 240-259 times?$4.72Sep 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump posts less than 40 times on X?$5.59Sep 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Chasiv Yar before October?$0.98Sep 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another movie gross most in 2024?$1.34Sep 5, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris solo interview before debate?$0.17Sep 5, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris give a live interview before debate?$1.00Sep 5, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS adds more than 300k jobs in August?$1.01Sep 5, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS adds between 250k and 300k jobs in August?$0.98Sep 5, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS adds between 200k and 250k jobs in August?$0.98Sep 5, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 7, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.