Flawless-Thought
0xdb4ed08e73e8139489ad68558ba12ac3d0fa2aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$157.36
Total PnL
$-730.26
Realised
$-12.83
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?
157 shares @ 60.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$157.36
$61.68
- YES
Will Frax win the USDH ticker?
399 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.06
- YES
Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
399 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.06
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
359 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-295.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3PM ET
230 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-57.50
- NO
Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
201 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.94
- YES
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
175 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-118.85
- NO
Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?
166 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-130.78
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
66 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$20.00Apr 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$120.00Mar 31, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$0.00Feb 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$107.68Jan 25, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$14.50Jan 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$10.65Jan 25, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.49Jan 25, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.88Jan 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$2.19Jan 25, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?$130.78Jan 9, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?$95.68Jan 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$307.26Jan 3, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$124.00Jan 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 3, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.15Jan 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.06Jan 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.18Jan 3, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.01Jan 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.60Jan 3, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $57.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.