Improbable-Alphabet
0xdb568206ef329e06fecf34866f66c1d347705582
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$8.57
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.97
$0.01
- NO
Will AS Roma win the Serie A?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.33
$0.00
- NO
Will Missouri win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$1.27
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.96May 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Missouri win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.26Mar 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win the Serie A?$1.33Dec 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the World Series?$6.49Sep 12, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the World Series?$6.49Sep 12, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine before September?$5.66Sep 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine before September?$5.59Aug 23, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$13.33Aug 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.06Aug 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$20.00Aug 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$17.48Aug 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.14Aug 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$23.30Aug 23, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$27.92Aug 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 110-119 times?$0.02Aug 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$27.97Aug 23, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$29.97Aug 23, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.18Aug 23, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 110-119 times?$0.10Aug 23, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.