Important-Doughnut
0xdb58d890cd99bc646322e364fb5969a965a7cef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.88
Total PnL
$-648.17
Realised
$-6.58
Win rate
0%
103 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$2.88
$-1.37
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$4.30Aug 17, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.20Aug 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.92Aug 17, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.02Aug 17, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.18Aug 17, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$5.12Aug 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$4.44Aug 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$4.30Aug 17, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$5.18Aug 17, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$4.35Aug 17, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.12Aug 17, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.17Aug 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$4.25Aug 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$4.49Aug 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$4.45Aug 17, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$5.16Aug 17, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.87Aug 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.36Aug 17, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.36Aug 17, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$4.73Aug 17, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 103 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
103 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 103 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.