0xdb59d203ef518020730692e3b09da6fb2026189a
0xdb59d203ef518020730692e3b09da6fb2026189a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$54.33
Total PnL
$1.30
Realised
$-0.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$4.44
$3.44
- YES
Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.52
$1.52
- BOOMBOYS
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in August?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.68
$0.68
- NO
Will Solana dip to $70 in August?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Tropical Storm Lala make landfall in Hawaii as a hurricane?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
7 shares @ 13.8¢·now 19.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
2 shares @ 64.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.32
$0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$1.52Aug 19, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $80 in August?$0.00Aug 19, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 19?$2.13Aug 19, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$1.11Aug 19, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Kirwan be the FL-04 Democratic nominee?$1.12Aug 19, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 18?$1.25Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?$1.32Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$1.61Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMSion: Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery$1.00Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill India win?$0.00Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$2.08Aug 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMRecoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: CA Boca Juniors O/U 1.5$0.00Aug 19, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 18, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 18, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?$1.60Aug 18, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$0.00Aug 18, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 18, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMCincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimova$0.00Aug 18, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 18, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 17?$0.00Aug 18, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.