Wallet digest

active

Activity score

47/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-20.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 12

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5610 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-2.8K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
5609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-2.8K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
5609 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-2.8K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2813 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2807 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2807 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2807 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2806 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2806 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2805 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.4K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.05Jan 17, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Nov 24, 06:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$72.00Nov 17, 06:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$106.00Nov 17, 06:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$53.00Nov 17, 03:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.50Nov 17, 03:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$30.50Nov 17, 03:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$99.00Nov 11, 07:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$100.00Nov 11, 07:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$12.71Nov 11, 06:23 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$37.30Nov 11, 06:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$49.50Nov 11, 06:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Nov 4, 11:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.8KNov 4, 11:25 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 15
Avg trade size: $947.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 4, 10:17 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 03:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:21:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data