Muffled-Content
0xdb5ae243f81dfa90ef2c778079e7d71fbb1315ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-733.87
Realised
$-3.57
Win rate
15%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
15 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
15 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
14 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
14 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$3.12Aug 17, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$6.00Aug 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.12Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$3.12Aug 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$2.59Aug 16, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$3.12Aug 16, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$6.00Aug 15, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3.12Aug 15, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$6.00Aug 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$3.12Aug 8, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$3.12Aug 8, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$3.07Aug 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.65Aug 8, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.00Aug 6, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3.22Aug 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.42Aug 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.70Aug 6, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$6.00Aug 5, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.22Aug 5, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
66 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.