Paltry-Pregnancy
0xdb6092d9c90a672eef511b0906be1a19222f137a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$601.17
Total PnL
$-68.1K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
62%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1029 shares @ 17.5¢·now 35.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$361.54
$181.54
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1163 shares @ 8.6¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$194.77
$94.77
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
664 shares @ 10.5¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.49
$-30.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
976 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.37
$-34.63
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
38432 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-460.91
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?
23425 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
22500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?
18470 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-225.80
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox
18181 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$189.61Jul 3, 13:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 1, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox$13.70Jun 27, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.10Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.86Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.61Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $173.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.