Unripe-Bamboo
0xdb7118f26824cfbc472aa512c798f31b665410cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.7K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
21%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49.5 and 50.0 million views on day 6?
72512 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-72.51
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
35272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-211.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
33421 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-420.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
31424 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-189.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
25697 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
21150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-168.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
20405 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-121.98
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 32 million views on day 3?
17248 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-89.14
- YES
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?
14109 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-84.16
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
13220 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-133.76
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.13Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$34.67Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.20Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$74.73Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.30Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$182.00Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$19.89Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.38Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$65.90Aug 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$153.68Aug 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$101.75Aug 16, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)$87.21Aug 16, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$187.50Aug 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)$62.04Aug 16, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$39.16Aug 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)$105.55Aug 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)$57.32Aug 16, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$72.63Aug 15, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$12.51Aug 15, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)$232.31Aug 15, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
58 closed markets, 21% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $67.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.