Motherly-Skyscraper
0xdb751d7d1c1c8b9c5880fa41dbf72befb6c5e2e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-330.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
1166 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2026?
1010 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
604 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?
411 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
267 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-60.04
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
247 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.93
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
203 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$46.93Mar 22, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$447.02Mar 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?$57.84Mar 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$60.04Mar 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 11, 2026?$43.00Mar 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?$23.00Mar 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$27.00Mar 6, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?$5.00Mar 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?$50.00Mar 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$208.04Mar 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$948.43Mar 3, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$9.05Mar 3, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$100.00Mar 1, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$45.00Feb 28, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$1.1KFeb 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$38.82Feb 20, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$238.00Feb 18, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $186.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.