0xdb7e8e69087cb052ebd78240b89c7b76cbd5ee5e
0xdb7e8e69087cb052ebd78240b89c7b76cbd5ee5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$15.05
Total PnL
$-103.72
Realised
$-1.62
Win rate
11%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$4.88
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 33.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$3.35
$-0.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 19?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 19?
7 shares @ 27.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 19?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 19?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.50Aug 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.41Aug 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.06Aug 18, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.04Aug 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.03Aug 18, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 19?$3.58Aug 18, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 19?$5.51Aug 18, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 19?$1.26Aug 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.23Aug 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.05Aug 18, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?$2.06Aug 18, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?$3.23Aug 18, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 83 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
83 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.