Ruddy-Hazelnut
0xdb836551b5b41e660f6d9b9ecf720beaf74368d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$205.79
Total PnL
$-865.45
Realised
$-82.90
Win rate
14%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?
17 shares @ 68.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$12.93
$1.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?
16 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$12.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?
17 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$12.24
$0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 22?
20 shares @ 59.7¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$12.13
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?
19 shares @ 60.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$12.03
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?
17 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$11.90
$-0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 23?
18 shares @ 65.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$11.89
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?
18 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$11.80
$-0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?
19 shares @ 62.2¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$11.27
$-0.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 23?
18 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$11.25
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?$3.01Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 23?$3.04Jun 22, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 23?$3.06Jun 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 23?$2.99Jun 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 22?$2.99Jun 22, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 22?$3.05Jun 22, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 23?$3.00Jun 22, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
43 closed markets, 14% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.