Smoggy-Commitment
0xdb8fc6fc94a6a89162445b23e0788a2812ab5d25
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-547.94
Realised
$-31.88
Win rate
56%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
3618 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-36.18
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
134 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
76 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
65 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
60 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-19.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
60 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-24.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
50 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
42 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-17.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$45.00Jul 1, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.48Jul 1, 05:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.51Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.20Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.55Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.80Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.12Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.73Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.23Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.07Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$59.99Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.80Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.05Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.20Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.40Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.45Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.10Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$23.69Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.75Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
54 closed markets, 56% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 05:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.