Unsightly-Pagoda
0xdb8ff4a88c04f4512cdc9ce7b24b40d53a9393cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$11.68
Total PnL
$-331.73
Realised
$-4.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$11.68
$6.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
433 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
191 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$10.00Apr 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$13.26Apr 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.00Apr 14, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?$10.00Apr 14, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$23.25Apr 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?$5.00Apr 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?$5.00Apr 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.27Apr 10, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$11.96Apr 8, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$22.09Apr 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$15.33Apr 8, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Apr 8, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?$5.00Apr 8, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".