Haunting-Anime
0xdb918aca181077f5cb63d61c6b3f96238e07e5c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on February 1?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 25?
920 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 30?
820 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 9?
575 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 22?
542 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- LIGHTNING
Lightning vs. Red Wings
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?$91.09Jun 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?$91.01Jun 7, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$91.09Jun 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?$91.01May 28, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$91.09May 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$91.00May 22, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.09May 22, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$91.00May 17, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?$1.10May 17, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$90.27May 17, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$90.01May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?$1.10May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?$1.07May 12, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?$92.18May 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?$92.01May 7, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.09May 7, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.00May 3, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 22?$91.08May 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 22?$91.00Apr 22, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?$91.08Apr 22, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $73.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.