Ornate-Digit
0xdb9888d138d0296878883fc8f0ff57d5d19f0f80
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-660.32
Realised
$0.73
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
2640 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
1370 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
910 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
906 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 15?
668 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
515 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.18
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?
514 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?
167 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.81Jul 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.94Jul 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.86Jul 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.69Jul 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.14Jul 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.14Jul 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.34Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.72Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.82Jul 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.86Jul 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.13Jul 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$49.36Jul 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$48.70Jul 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$18.45Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$24.46Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$12.22Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$9.00Jul 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$58.03Jul 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$50.47Jul 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$28.82Jul 13, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.