Elegant-Tuba
0xdb991dd0a2465eb3b3145b16f89be829d64d772f
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.32
Total PnL
$-95.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.32
$-0.58
- YES
Will Solana reach $250 October 20-26?
1135 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 29?
299 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?
179 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,600 on November 4?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Over 80% "For" on the Jupiter burn proposal?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.