Grouchy-Dugout
0xdba10a9b40c401c6e47e98a5223801a79a3d8239
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$85.18
Total PnL
$-128.61
Realised
$-1.65
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
42 shares @ 22.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$39.96
$30.65
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
40 shares @ 47.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$39.37
$20.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 20?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$3.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.55
$0.65
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?
59 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.32
- YES
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 11?
31 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 5?
25 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 3?
21 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$1.90May 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$74.00May 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 20?$3.75May 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.00May 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$8.61May 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$3.14May 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.86May 18, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$0.40May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.40May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.60May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?$17.49May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?$14.40May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?$5.18May 17, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?$9.62May 17, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$10.00May 17, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 17?$4.62May 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?$3.24May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?$26.01May 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?$5.17May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 16?$5.28May 16, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".