Inferior-Neuron
0xdba3cbdf81eaaf9bc37325e109348fbf625e988f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$68.03
Total PnL
$-927.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
1183 shares @ 8.4¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.03
$-31.57
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?
1115 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-302.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?
514 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-259.92
- YES
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
461 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-123.89
- NO
Will Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
300 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-109.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$123.89Feb 6, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?$122.93Feb 6, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$3.68Feb 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$3.44Feb 5, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$2.80Feb 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?$88.92Feb 5, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$52.00Feb 5, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?$27.08Feb 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?$63.64Feb 4, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?$2.24Feb 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 3-9?$19.04Feb 4, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Barack Hussein Obama” by February 28?$11.08Feb 4, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?$109.80Feb 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)$194.20Feb 4, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Massie" this week? (February 1)$0.00Feb 4, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Massie" this week? (February 1)$0.00Feb 4, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?$0.00Feb 4, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$0.00Feb 4, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Massie" this week? (February 1)$0.00Feb 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)$119.88Feb 3, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $135.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 07:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 01:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.