Thorough-Bunkhouse
0xdba6d8170758e3597ef199ecae2b8040e66a7f11
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$50.67
Total PnL
$-407.58
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
46 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.44
$38.08
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
37 shares @ 15.4¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$-3.44
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-4.22
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
216 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-2.68
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-2.83
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
1672 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
665 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.77
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$20.00Feb 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$10.91Feb 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$21.13Feb 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$4.86Feb 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.86Feb 27, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8.36Feb 18, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86Feb 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$7.50Feb 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$13.13Feb 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.08Feb 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.33Feb 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$8.13Feb 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Canada election called by June 30?$2.59Feb 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6.04Feb 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$3.12Feb 5, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$2.92Feb 5, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.78Feb 3, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$15.00Feb 3, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.01Feb 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.69Feb 3, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 01:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".