Dark-Vicinity
0xdbc4b55d87334263e9695071070b085de98635e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
164
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$-348.44
Win rate
12%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 164- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
30879 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-308.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
15984 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-159.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 9?
8209 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?
5588 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-102.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
5551 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2384 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on May 10?
2179 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.02
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?
1923 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1912 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
1552 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.52
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.11Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- REWARD$46.15Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?$144.81Jun 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?$155.83Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$162.00Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$63.38Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$162.00Jun 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$38.76Jun 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$256.58Jun 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$120.53Jun 25, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$167.54Jun 25, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?$83.00Jun 25, 09:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.99Jun 25, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$42.68Jun 25, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 24?$100.00Jun 24, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?$510.00Jun 24, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?$15.00Jun 24, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?$15.00Jun 24, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?$15.00Jun 24, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 24?$15.00Jun 24, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
34 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $124.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.