Calculating-Measure
0xdbd10dbfa39b4490b42d61145394682454768cf9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.20
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.50
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
777 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
667 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-382.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
206 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
109 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
100 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
56 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-39.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
37 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-18.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Dec 30, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.57Dec 30, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.57Dec 30, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$8.00Dec 30, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Dec 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Dec 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$382.66Dec 30, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$39.72Dec 30, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$22.45Dec 30, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$20.00Dec 30, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.99Dec 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.69Dec 30, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$20.00Dec 30, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$15.15Dec 30, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Dec 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.00Dec 30, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.00Dec 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.00Dec 30, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$20.00Dec 30, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $113.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 04:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.