Ornate-Proliferation
0xdbdb141119ae279b88af7e8c94444e26a2ccb241
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-14.82
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
460 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
425 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
415 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
360 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
305 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
295 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
227 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
185 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-13.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
109 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.54Jul 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.01Jul 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.79Jul 30, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during cabinet meeting?$0.96Jul 30, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?$4.55Jul 30, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.28Jul 30, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 30?$2.06Jul 30, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$4.69Jul 30, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.84Jul 30, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 31?$3.01Jul 30, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?$2.68Jul 30, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Jul 30, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.00Jul 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.85Jul 30, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$3.05Jul 30, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 30?$2.01Jul 30, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 30?$3.85Jul 30, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 31?$2.31Jul 30, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$4.45Jul 30, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.73Jul 30, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.