Mediocre-Lot
0xdbdd82394a97ccb9dcd575383d8b0827bd8e7b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-626.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
377 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-332.07
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 18?
280 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-69.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12?
219 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.71
- YES
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-01-10?
192 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
176 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.16
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey: A New Era" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)
160 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.72
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 45% and 46%?
146 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.58
- NO
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of December 8 above $175?
146 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-14.31
- YES
Will "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top global Netflix show this week?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (W)
141 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?$24.08Jul 6, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$26.87Jul 6, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$22.97Jul 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 5?$2.02Jul 4, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$15.21Jul 2, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 in June?$17.09Jul 2, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 5?$22.64Jun 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 in June?$17.00Jun 28, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$15.01Jun 26, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?$14.21Jun 25, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?$13.98Jun 21, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$332.07Mar 24, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMCD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5$310.99Mar 24, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5$230.13Mar 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Get to Heaven from Belfast" be the top global Netflix show this week?$3.01Feb 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on February 14?$6.44Feb 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elvis Casely win the GA-14 special election?$2.43Feb 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 12?$3.64Feb 10, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 12?$5.71Feb 10, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny win 0 Grammys?$3.46Feb 1, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $45.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.