Unsteady-Smoking
0xdbdfd2213033555336721681c319d22cf0ac5ef4
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.15
Total PnL
$-10.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be one or two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$2.94May 28, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.00Feb 20, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 20, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$0.00Feb 20, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Feb 20, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.56Feb 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.22Feb 6, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$1.00Feb 1, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$1.00Feb 1, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$1.00Feb 1, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 7, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$1.11Jan 7, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$1.52Jan 7, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$1.00Jan 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$1.00Jan 3, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?$1.00Jan 2, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".