United-Premier
0xdbe5d59d7f4c9ad4d49dbff61960c7d6e2a372da
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-838.01
Realised
$224.83
Win rate
79%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3808 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.6K
$132.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1402 shares @ 91.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.4K
$68.97
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
483 shares @ 83.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$412.96
$9.01
- YES
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
377 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$376.85
$2.05
- YES
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?
376 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$369.64
$3.49
- NO
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
223 shares @ 93.2¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.56
$3.56
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
235 shares @ 82.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$203.20
$8.40
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
208 shares @ 93.5¢·now 94.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$196.71
$2.33
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$191.98
$-5.02
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 84.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.14
$19.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$3.04Jul 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$4.05Jul 28, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$34.98Jul 28, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get at least 28 million views on day 3?$5.05Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?$1.14Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 33 million views on day 4?$10.00Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30.17Jul 28, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?$6.28Jul 28, 07:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?$1.14Jul 27, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$3.05Jul 27, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$2.02Jul 27, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 26 million views on day 3?$1.01Jul 27, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$2.02Jul 27, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$2.02Jul 27, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get at least 23 million views on day 2?$2.15Jul 27, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$6.05Jul 27, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get at least 28 million views on day 3?$5.00Jul 27, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026?$88.07Jul 27, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
33 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $24.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.