Bony-Fee
0xdbf05a2d7377bcbb58c4c69e7ceffbe972e07260
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$22.19
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 22?
1413 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.4K
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22?
500 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$499.75
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on July 22?
202 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$201.79
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?
197 shares @ 69.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$138.73
$1.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?
110 shares @ 36.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$109.94
$69.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?
133 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$47.21
$0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?
91 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$22.25
$-2.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 2AM ET
210 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-194.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 9PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$14.20Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$4.89Jul 22, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$3.87Jul 22, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$21.29Jul 22, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$0.54Jul 22, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$1.02Jul 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$19.88Jul 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$4.20Jul 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$4.63Jul 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$9.87Jul 22, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$5.39Jul 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$7.00Jul 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$3.50Jul 22, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?$25.42Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 23?$22.71Jul 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$0.99Jul 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?$182.83Jul 22, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$163.41Jul 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 23?$52.48Jul 22, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.