Upset-Subject
0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- REWARD$45.17Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.27Jul 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$305.56Jul 19, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5.62Jul 19, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$225.37Jul 19, 06:32 UTC
- REWARD$14.28Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$149.98Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$91.32Jul 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$589.49Jul 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$58.97Jul 18, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.43Jul 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.04Jul 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.08Jul 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.08Jul 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$8.00Jul 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2.00Jul 18, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$0.40Jul 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.00Jul 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$84.33Jul 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$30.90Jul 18, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
$12.4K · 58% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.