Muddy-Yard
0xdbf590ee41a8c5c2f5f5ce3ae45705021cf1c44c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
1684 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-119.73
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
1200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
917 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
910 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
865 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-198.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
719 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-198.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
669 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$30.00Mar 9, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$100.00Mar 9, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$77.27Mar 9, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$130.00Feb 26, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$237.68Feb 26, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$300.00Feb 25, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$373.92Feb 25, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$200.00Feb 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$200.00Feb 25, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$100.00Feb 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$200.00Feb 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.00Feb 24, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$148.08Feb 24, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$100.00Feb 24, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$288.24Feb 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$200.00Feb 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$100.00Feb 24, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$40.00Feb 23, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$110.00Feb 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$200.00Feb 23, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $137.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".