Unhappy-Idea
0xdbfa1d8425afca553d0b3d88f8cecc8a4e8eb0ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-824.54
Realised
$51.85
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
706 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-89.22
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
420 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-68.42
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
280 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
236 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-32.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
224 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
181 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.79
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
101 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
97 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
87 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
84 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-39.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.33Jul 18, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$18.06Jul 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$13.11Jul 6, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$47.35May 31, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$20.73May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.00May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$4.95May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$9.80May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.41May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$7.23May 31, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$25.84May 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$25.83May 31, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$25.82May 31, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.18May 31, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$25.86May 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.52May 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$10.47May 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$63.87May 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.91May 31, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$15.00May 31, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $21.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.