Third-Lighting
0xdc1005d2e3f74c3e8839c55bbeef88a8cf51e61e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$89.00
Total PnL
$0.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$18.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.02
- NO
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.00
$0.41
- NO
Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$10.00
$0.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$10.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.08
- NO
Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$10.00
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8AM ET
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$6.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 2?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2025$5.00
$0.13
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
108 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 8AM ET$5.99Nov 30, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$9.98Nov 30, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$9.92Nov 8, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?$9.99Aug 31, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase airdrop in Q3 2025?$9.59Jul 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$17.98Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 2?$4.87Apr 30, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase airdrop in Q2 2025?$9.87Apr 30, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin up in Q1 2025?$9.99Mar 31, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$117.02Mar 31, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$116.67Feb 27, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMBase airdrop in 2024?$100.00Jan 31, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$2.50Jan 17, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$2.50Jan 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.29Dec 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$1.15Dec 30, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.31Dec 30, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.29Dec 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.20Dec 29, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maccabi TLV win the UEFA Europa League?$0.23Dec 29, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".