Direct-Colonisation
0xdc1e9e397b479e11591b1f3025c8ecd641e6d9c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$20.3K
Win rate
82%
164 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
1238 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-427.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
924 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-145.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
840 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-396.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
760 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-431.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
757 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-489.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
748 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-47.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
691 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-388.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
681 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-234.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
668 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-333.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
665 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-392.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.26Apr 23, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.56Apr 23, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Apr 15, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$543.47Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$171.19Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$499.34Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$265.34Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$507.15Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$460.57Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$50.00Mar 30, 11:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$442.22Mar 26, 01:00 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$932.73Mar 25, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$46.50Mar 25, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
82/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 164 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
164 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 164 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.