Friendly-Clipper
0xdc24f4c2ca32fbee0458a96734077b9dca5502c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?
52 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?$9.30Jun 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$8.86May 31, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$12.43May 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.94May 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.46May 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4.99May 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?$7.25May 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?$7.43May 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?$6.22May 29, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.47May 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$5.19May 29, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.53May 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.17May 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.32May 29, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.17May 29, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$6.24May 29, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.17May 29, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.87May 29, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.16May 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.51May 29, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.