Tangible-Snuggle
0xdc346b90504305fbc0a9a2e0c548b7e71f4e67f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-477.71
Realised
$-33.50
Win rate
27%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
5500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
2900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
2700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
2600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
57 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
33 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
30 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
30 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
30 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00May 15, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$0.00May 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.07May 14, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
63 closed markets, 27% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.