Amusing-Urn
0xdc3ac4d6230cbcde18227ff0c04eda3f698b5059
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$19.28
Total PnL
$2.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 71.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$9.18
$2.61
- NO
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$6.86
$2.33
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$3.24
$1.20
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.57Jul 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?$4.53Jul 21, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$3.22Jul 10, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?$2.04Jul 10, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00Jul 4, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 4, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jul 4, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.13Jun 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$5.33Jun 16, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.15Jun 14, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 7, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1800 and $1900 on May 9?$13.31Jun 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$12.71May 12, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1800 and $1900 on May 9?$6.39May 8, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$9.48Feb 7, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$16.31Feb 7, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$9.47Jan 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$16.24Jan 30, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$0.00Jan 21, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.22Jan 21, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.