0xdc3e728af986fa365ec49d2da653c85feacce98f
0xdc3e728af986fa365ec49d2da653c85feacce98f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$16.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2358 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
2291 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-252.00
- YES
Will Mark Cuban join the America Party?
1184 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-146.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
1149 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
847 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
598 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
- YES
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
414 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell federally charged in 2025?$206.06Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$210.53Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMObama federally charged in 2025?$315.58Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$408.26Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$695.56Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMAmerica Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?$986.70Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?$1.1KFeb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.8KFeb 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$111.11Dec 19, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.4KDec 19, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$100.50Nov 9, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$417.58Nov 9, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.3KNov 9, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$380.00Oct 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$31.25Oct 1, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$349.27Oct 1, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$124.21Sep 26, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?$20.00Sep 26, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?$10.00Sep 26, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$200.00Sep 26, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $240.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".