Chubby-Variability
0xdc422a9a607ca60ad8e6b198b05fa8f9b6731814
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$36.32
Total PnL
$-48.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.00
$-26.00
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$10.39May 20, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$51.88May 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.00Jan 23, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $5.50Jan 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $3.52Nov 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$10.00Nov 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 14, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $15.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.