Amused-Rocker
0xdc42c780f15e48d34eec0f1bbc39949655d23852
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$11.36
Total PnL
$6.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?$5.08May 8, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$12.50May 8, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?$7.09May 7, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on August 18?$15.14Aug 27, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on August 18?$15.00Aug 18, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?$10.41Aug 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 6, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 17?$14.14Aug 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 17?$14.00Jul 17, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2900 on July 16 at 5PM ET?$14.07Jul 17, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2900 on July 16 at 5PM ET?$14.00Jul 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2900 on July 14 at 5PM ET?$1.06Jul 16, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 14 at 5PM ET?$5.05Jul 16, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on July 14?$6.02Jul 16, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 14 at 5PM ET?$5.00Jul 14, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2900 on July 14 at 5PM ET?$1.00Jul 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on July 14?$6.00Jul 14, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$14.48Jul 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$14.07Jun 21, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in May?$6.58Jun 21, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.