Adored-Examination
0xdc4591e80eca6801a0e1b29da0cf65b8ab6432db
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$9.71
Total PnL
$-81.81
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 5?
188 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 5?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 4?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
45 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
18 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?$0.00Jun 4, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 4, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$1.03Jun 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 4, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?$1.05Jun 4, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?$2.06Jun 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 4?$1.02Jun 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 4?$1.05Jun 4, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 4?$1.04Jun 4, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$17.81Jun 4, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.49Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.33May 31, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?$0.90May 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.00May 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.14May 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.26May 28, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.03May 28, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.08May 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.00May 28, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 20:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".