Previous-Begonia
0xdc498638c3bb41c48fe0f5655bfba6d0ff980062
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$6.24
Realised
$94.33
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?
5301 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 28?
1065 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?
1018 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?
214 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.73
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?
102 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 28?
33 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.03Nov 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$47.77Nov 3, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$49.47Nov 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$49.47Nov 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$49.47Nov 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$45.30Nov 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.50Nov 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$49.47Nov 2, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$24.64Oct 31, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$18.90Oct 31, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.79Oct 31, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.81Oct 31, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$5.96Oct 31, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$9.97Oct 31, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.51Oct 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.48Oct 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$10.49Oct 30, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$49.50Oct 30, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?$0.64Oct 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?$7.68Oct 30, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".