Harmonious-Program
0xdc61a3ef6d96318159e68f525e72f81bd744e053
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$4.47
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
106 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
105 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
99 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-58.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
93 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-58.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
86 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
85 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
85 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-58.67
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
84 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-49.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
84 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-58.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.02Jul 23, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.02Jul 23, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.05Jul 23, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.67Jul 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.03Jul 23, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.31Jul 23, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.85Jul 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trace Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2$0.54Jul 18, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.05Jul 16, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.04Jul 16, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.35Jul 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.02Jul 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.04Jul 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.03Jul 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.03Jul 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.04Jul 15, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.